HomeMy WebLinkAbout2026 05 11 Awards and Presentations 102 - PFM Asset Management LLC Presentation on Quarterly Investment Report for Period Ending 03.31.2026AWARDS AND PRESENTATIONS ITEM 102
CITY COMMISSION AGENDA | MAY 11, 2026 REGULAR MEETING
TITLE
PFM Asset Management LLC presentation on the highlights of the most recent
Quarterly Investment Report for the period ending 3/31/2026
SUMMARY
Sean Gannon and Dani Metz from PFM Asset Management Group LLC will provide a
brief presentation on the highlights of the most recent Quarterly Investment Report for
the period ending 3/31/2026.
FUNDING SOURCE
RECOMMENDATION
No action required at this time
7
City Commissioners Investment Report
For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
Client Management Team
PFM Asset Management
A division of U.S. Bancorp Asset Management, Inc
213 Market Street
Harrisburg, PA 17101-2141
717-232-2723
225 East Robinson Street |
Suite 250
Orlando, FL 32801
689-263-8906
CITY OF WINTER SPRINGS
Datnilza Metz, CTP, Institutional Sales and Relationship Manager
Sean Gannon, CTP, Institutional Sales and Relationship Manager
Richard Pengelly, CFA, CIMA, CTP, Managing Director
NOT FDIC INSURED : NO BANK GUARANTEE : MAY LOSE VALUE
This material is for client use8
PFM Asset Management | pfmam.com
Market Update
Page 2 of 189
Current Market Themes
Source: Details on market themes and economic indicators provided throughout the body of the presentation. Bloomberg Finance L.P., as of March 31, 2026.
For the Quarter Ended March 31,2026
Market Update
▸Geopolitics has overtaken U.S. macro fundamentals as the market’s primary focus
▹Conflict in Iran has increased near-term inflation risks due to higher commodity prices
▹Unemployment rate remains stable with net new job creation near zero
▹Consumer spending and business investment continue to support growth, though momentum
is slowing
▸The Federal Reserve paused during both meetings in Q1, keeping rates at 3.50-3.75%
▹The median “dot plot” projection continues to show one 25 basis point cut in 2026, though
individual projections showed less easing
▹Fed Chair Powell acknowledged the path forward is complicated by geopolitical uncertainty,
making it more difficult for the Fed to balance its dual mandate
▸Rising front-end yields unwound the inversion in the Treasury curve
▹Rate cut expectations were pushed further out, lifting front-end yields
▹Escalating Middle East conflict drove a spike in volatility
▹Credit spreads widened from historically tight levels amid heavy supply and geopolitical
pressure
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Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., as of March 31, 2026. Market implied inflation expectations shown using 1-year and 5-year inflation swaps.
For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
Market Update
▸Closure of the Strait of Hormuz creates a
supply shock
▹Higher oil prices pressure agricultural
and industrial inputs
▹Duration of price shock more important
than magnitude
▸Federal Reserve likely to remain on hold as
it assesses evolving risks
▹Headline inflation expected to rise
though uncertainty remains regarding
passthrough to core inflation and labor
markets
▹Fed to look through supply-side energy
shock if inflation expectations remain
anchored
44%
61%
55%
34%32%
0%
25%
50%
75%
Brent Crude
$96.79
Nat. Gas (Eur)
€55.28
Urea Ammonia Polyethylene
Price Change of Energy Commodities*
Since February 27
3.2%
2%
3%
4%
Jan-25 Apr-25 Jul-25 Oct-25 Jan-26
Hu
n
d
r
e
d
s
Forward Inflation Expectations
January 1, 2025 to March 31, 2026
1-year 5-year
*Brent Crude are quoted in dollars per barrel based on the front -month futures contract. Natural gas
prices are quoted in euros per megawatt-hour. Ammonia, and urea prices are based on the front -month
exchange-traded futures contract. Polyethylene is price are based on the active exchange -traded
futures contract.
Market Pricing Conflict In Iran
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Page 4 of 18 11
Source: FOMC Chair Jerome Powell Press Conference, March 18, 2026. Bureau of Labor Statistics and Bloomberg Finance L.P. CPI Inflation as of February 2026 and
Unemployment Rate as of March 2026. Survey responses after March 27, 2026, included in mean and forecast range for CPI Inflat ion and Unemployment Rate. Shading represents
the central 80% of the forecasts.
Fed Chair Powell: “What we have is some tension between the goals,
and we’re trying to manage our way through it.”
Macro Data Takes a Back Seat
For the Quarter Ended March 31,2026
Market Update
2Q26
3.3%4Q26
3.1%
2Q27
2.2%
Feb ‘26
2.4%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Mar-23 Mar-24 Mar-25 Mar-26 Mar-27
CPI Inflation (YoY)
Mean Forecast Actual
2Q26
4.5%
4Q26
4.5%
2Q27
4.4%Mar ‘26
4.3%
3%
4%
5%
Mar-23 Mar-24 Mar-25 Mar-26 Mar-27
Unemployment Rate
Mean Forecast Actual
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Page 5 of 18 12
Fed Chair Powell: “We feel like the framework calls to balance the risks. We feel where we are now is on the
higher borderline of restrictive versus not restrictive, we feel like that is the right place to be.”
2026 2027 2028
The Latest Fed “Dot Plot”
Longer Term
3.1%1 cut 1 cut 0 cuts
Source: FOMC Chair Jerome Powell Press Conference, March 18, 2026. Federal Reserve; Bloomberg Finance L.P. Individual dots re present each Fed members’ judgement of the
midpoint of the appropriate target range for the federal funds rate at each year -end. As of March 2026.
For the Quarter Ended March 31,2026
Market Update
Fed Participants’ Assessments of ‘Appropriate’ Monetary Policy5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
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Page 6 of 18 13
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., as of March 31, 2026.
Treasury Yields Reach 8-Month High
For the Quarter Ended March 31,2026
Market Update
3.00%
3.25%
3.50%
3.75%
4.00%
Dec-25 Jan-26 Feb-26 Mar-26
2-Year U.S. Treasury Yield
December 31, 2025 – March 31, 2026
Feb 5th
Weak labor
market data
+42 bps
Feb 28th– March 31st
U.S. and Israeli strikes In
Iran result in the closure of
the Strait of Hormuz
Jan 9th
Unemployment rate
beats expectations
and falls to 4.4%
PFM Asset Management | pfmam.com
CITY OF WINTER SPRINGS
Page 7 of 18 14
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., as of March 31, 2026.
For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
Market Update
3.67%
3.79%
3.94%
4.13%
4.32%
4.91%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
5.50%
Yi
e
l
d
Maturity
U.S. Treasury Yield Curve
1 Year Range
March 31, 2026
December 31, 2025
3mo 2yr 5yr 7yr 10yr 20yr 30yr
Treasury Yields Rise Across the Curve
PFM Asset Management | pfmam.com
CITY OF WINTER SPRINGS
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PFM Asset Management | pfmam.com
Portfolio Review:
WINTER SPRINGS GENERAL CITY ACCOUNT
Page 9 of 1816
PFM Asset Management | pfmam.com
CITY OF WINTER SPRINGS
For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
Account Summary
Sector Allocation Analytics
For informational/analytical purposes only and is not provided for compliance assurance. Includes accrued interest.
*Sector Limit for Analysis is as derived from our interpretation of your most recent Investment Policy as provided.
Local Government Investment Pool - $8,535,325 8.3%
0.7%
17.5%
4.1%
3.7%
6.7%
59.0%
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%
Money Market Fund - $724,447
Corporate - $17,906,503
Commercial Paper - $4,158,273
Agency CMBS - $3,830,088
ABS - $6,912,855
U.S. Treasury - $60,427,272
Portfolio Allocation Sector Limit for Analysis*
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PFM Asset Management | pfmam.com
CITY OF WINTER SPRINGS
For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
Portfolio Snapshot
Yield and duration calculations exclude cash and cash equivalents. Sector allocation includes market values and accrued interest.
The portfolio’s benchmark is currently the ICE BofA 1 Year U.S Treasury Index. Prior to 6/30/11 it was the ICE BofA 1-3 Year Government Index. Source: Bloomberg Financial LP.
An average of each security’s credit rating was assigned a numeric value and adjusted for its relative weighting in the portfolio.
1.
Portfolio Snapshot - WINTER SPRINGS GENERAL CITY ACCOUNT¹
Credit Quality - S&P
52%47%
1%
0%
20%
40%
60%
0-1 Yr 1-2 Yrs 2-3 Yrs
Portfolio
Duration Distribution
U.S. Treasury | 65%
Corporate | 19%
ABS | 8%
Commercial Paper | 5%
Agency CMBS | 4%
Sector Allocation
AAA | 4%
AA+ | 69%
AA | 1%
AA- | 3%
A+ | 7%
A | 5%
A- | 4%
A-1 | 5%
Not Rated | 4%
Portfolio Statistics
Portfolio Effective Duration
Benchmark Effective Duration
Portfolio Credit Quality
Yield At Market
Yield At Cost
Total Market Value
Securities Sub-Total
Cash
$93,961,843.32
$92,466,798.24
$770,598.01
$724,447.07
0.99 years
0.88 years
4.05%
3.88%
AA
Accrued Interest
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PFM Asset Management | pfmam.com
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For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
Portfolio Performance
The lesser of 10 years or since inception is shown. Since inception returns for periods one year or less are not shown. Performance inception date is March 31, 2011.1.
Interest earned calculated as the ending accrued interest less beginning accrued interest, plus net interest activity.2.
Returns for periods one year or less are presented on a periodic basis. Returns for periods greater than one year are presented on an annualized basis.3.
The portfolio’s benchmark is currently the ICE BofA 1 Year U.S Treasury Index. Prior to 6/30/11 it was the ICE BofA 1-3 Year Government Index. Source: Bloomberg Financial LP.4.
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
Re
t
u
r
n
Portfolio Benchmark
Portfolio Performance
Market Value Basis Earnings 3 Months 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Interest Earned²
Change in Market Value
Total Dollar Return
Total Return³
Portfolio 0.68%4.15%4.80%2.96%2.24%
Benchmark⁴0.59%3.67%4.32%2.58%2.05%
3 Months 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
$867,757 $3,592,500 $10,030,654 $11,324,266 $14,380,651
$(250,089)$191,608 $3,337,223 $2,609,550 $4,133,164
$617,668 $3,784,108 $13,367,878 $13,933,816 $18,513,814
Pagel-ylofl-/
Gross Margin 0.09%0.49%0.48%0.38%0.19%
19
PFM Asset Management | pfmam.com
CITY OF WINTER SPRINGS
For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
Portfolio Performance
The lesser of 10 years or since inception is shown. Performance inception date is March 31, 2011.1.
Interest earned calculated as the ending accrued interest less beginning accrued interest, plus net interest activity.2.
Realized gains / (losses) are shown on an amortized cost basis.3.
Accrual Basis Earnings - WINTER SPRINGS GENERAL CITY ACCOUNT
Accrual Basis Earnings
Interest Earned²
Realized Gains / (Losses)³
Change in Amortized Cost
Total Earnings
3 Months
$887,740
$10,292
$85,968
$984,001
1 Year
$3,662,720
$23,031
$492,699
$4,178,450
3 Years
$10,100,875
($82,208)
$2,579,630
$12,598,297
5 Year
$11,394,486
($180,163)
$2,972,120
$14,186,443
10 Year¹
$14,450,871
($10,371)
$4,168,016
$18,608,516
Page 13 of 1820
PFM Asset Management | pfmam.com
CITY OF WINTER SPRINGS
For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
Account Summary
Ratings shown are calculated by assigning a numeral value to each security rating, then calculating a weighted average rating for each security type / issuer category using all available security ratings,
excluding Not-Rated (NR) ratings. For security type / issuer categories where a rating from the applicable NRSRO is not available, a rating of NR is assigned. Includes accrued interest and excludes balances
invested in overnight funds.
Issuer Diversification
Market Value (%)S&P / Moody's / FitchSecurity Type / Issuer
64.8%U.S. Treasury
United States Treasury 64.8%AA / Aa / AA
4.1%Agency CMBS
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp 4.1%AA / Aa / AA
4.5%Commercial Paper
Bank of America Corp 1.3% A / NR / AA
Barclays PLC 1.1% A / NR / A
National Bank of Canada 2.1% A / Aa / AA
19.2%Corporate
AbbVie Inc 0.4% A / A / NR
Amazon.com Inc 1.3% AA / A / AA
American Express Co 0.7%A / A / A
Analog Devices Inc 0.8%A / A / A
ANZ Group Holdings Ltd 0.8%AA / Aa / AA
Bank of America Corp 0.4%A / A / AA
Caterpillar Inc 0.5%A / A / A
Citigroup Inc 1.4%A / Aa / A
Cooperatieve Rabobank UA 1.2%A / Aa / AA
Deere & Co 0.8%A / A / A
Goldman Sachs Group Inc 0.7%A / A / A
Home Depot Inc 0.8%A / A / A
JPMorgan Chase & Co 1.6%A / Aa / AA
Mercedes-Benz Group AG 1.1%A / A / NR
National Rural Utilities Cooperative Fi 0.8%A / A / A
PACCAR Inc 0.5%A / A / NR
PepsiCo Inc 0.5%A / A / NR
Shell PLC 0.8%A / Aa / AA
Market Value (%)S&P / Moody's / FitchSecurity Type / Issuer
19.2%Corporate
State Street Corp 1.1%A / Aa / AA
Toronto-Dominion Bank 0.9%A / A / AA
Toyota Motor Corp 0.8%A / A / A
UnitedHealth Group Inc 0.8%A / A / A
Westpac Banking Corp 0.8%AA / Aa / NR
7.4%ABS
American Express Co 0.5% AAA / NR / AAA
BMW Vehicle Lease Trust 0.4% AAA / Aaa / AAA
GM Financial Consumer Automobile Receiv 0.3%NR / Aaa / AAA
Honda Auto Receivables Owner Trust 1.8% AAA / Aaa / AAA
Hyundai Auto Receivables Trust 1.7% AAA / NR / AAA
John Deere Owner Trust 0.4%NR / Aaa / AAA
Mercedes-Benz Auto Receivables Trust 0.4% AAA / Aaa / AAA
Toyota Auto Receivables Owner Trust 0.2%NR / Aaa / AAA
Verizon Master Trust 1.1%NR / Aaa / AAA
World Omni Auto Trust 0.6% AAA / NR / AAA
100.0%Total
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PFM Asset Management | pfmam.com
CITY OF WINTER SPRINGS
For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
Appendix
Important Disclosures
This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended to provide specific advice or a specific recommendation, as it was prepared without regard
to any specific objectives or financial circumstances.
PFMAM professionals have exercised reasonable professional care in the preparation of this performance report. Information in this report is obtained from sources
external to PFMAM and is generally believed to be reliable and available to the public; however, we cannot guarantee its accuracy, completeness or suitability. We
rely on the client's custodian for security holdings and market values. Transaction dates reported by the custodian may differ from money manager statements.
While efforts are made to ensure the data contained herein is accurate and complete, we disclaim all responsibility for any errors that may occur. References to
particular issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be recommendations or advice regarding such issuers. Fixed income manager and index
characteristics are gathered from external sources. When average credit quality is not available, it is estimated by taking the market value weights of individual credit
tiers on the portion of the strategy rated by a NRSRO.
It is not possible to invest directly in an index. The index returns shown throughout this material do not represent the results of actual trading of investor assets.
Third-party providers maintain the indices shown and calculate the index levels and performance shown or discussed. Index returns do not reflect payment of any
sales charges or fees an investor would pay to purchase the securities they represent. The imposition of these fees and charges would cause investment
performance to be lower than the performance shown.
The views expressed within this material constitute the perspective and judgment of PFMAM at the time of distribution and are subject to change. Any forecast,
projection, or prediction of the market, the economy, economic trends, and equity or fixed-income markets are based upon certain assumptions and current opinion
as of the date of issue and are also subject to change. Some, but not all assumptions are noted in the report. Assumptions may or may not be proven correct as
actual events occur, and results may depend on events outside of your or our control. Changes in assumptions may have a material effect on results. Opinions and
data presented are not necessarily indicative of future events or expected performance.
PFM Asset Management serves clients in the public sector and is a division of U.S. Bancorp Asset Management, Inc., which is the legal entity providing investment
advisory services. U.S. Bancorp Asset Management, Inc. is a registered investment adviser, a direct subsidiary of U.S. Bank N.A. and an indirect subsidiary of U.S.
Bancorp. U.S. Bank N.A. is not responsible for and does not guarantee the products, services, or performance of U.S. Bancorp Asset Management, Inc. The
information contained is not an offer to purchase or sell any securities. Additional applicable regulatory information is available upon request.
For more information regarding PFMAM's services or entities, please visit www.pfmam.com.
Further distribution is not permitted without prior written consent.
Page 15 of 1822
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For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
Appendix
Important Disclosures
Generally, PFMAM’s market prices are derived from closing bid prices as of the last business day of the month as supplied by ICE Data Services. There may be
differences in the values shown for investments due to accrued but uncollected income and the use of differing valuation sources and methods. Non-negotiable
FDIC-insured bank certificates of deposit are priced at par. Although PFMAM believes the prices to be reliable, the values of the securities may not represent the
prices at which the securities could have been bought or sold. Explanation of the valuation methods for a registered investment company or local government
investment program is contained in the appropriate fund offering documentation or information statement.
In accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, information is presented on a trade date basis; forward settling purchases are included in the monthly
balances, and forward settling sales are excluded.
Performance is presented in accordance with the CFA Institute's Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS). Unless otherwise noted, performance is shown
gross of fees. Quarterly returns are presented on an unannualized basis. Returns for periods greater than one year are presented on an annualized basis. Past
performance is not indicative of future returns.
ICE Bank of America Indices provided by Bloomberg Financial Markets.
Money market fund/cash balances are included in performance and duration computations.
Standard & Poor's is the source of the credit ratings. Distribution of credit rating is exclusive of money market fund/LGIP holdings.
Callable securities in the portfolio are included in the maturity distribution analysis to their stated maturity date, although, they may be called prior to maturity.
MBS maturities are represented by expected average life.
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CITY OF WINTER SPRINGS
For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
Appendix
Glossary
Accrued Interest: Interest that is due on a bond or other fixed income security since the last interest payment was made.
Agencies: Federal agency securities and/or Government-sponsored enterprises.
Amortized Cost: The original cost of the principal of the security is adjusted for the amount of the periodic reduction of any discount or premium from the purchase
date until the date of the report. Discount or premium with respect to short-term securities (those with less than one year to maturity at time of issuance) is amortized
on a straight line basis. Such discount or premium with respect to longer-term securities is amortized using the constant yield basis.
Asset-Backed Security: A financial instrument collateralized by an underlying pool of assets – usually ones that generate a cash flow from debt, such as loans,
leases, credit card balances, and receivables.
Bankers’ Acceptance: A draft or bill or exchange accepted by a bank or trust company. The accepting institution guarantees payment of the bill as well as the insurer.
Commercial Paper: An unsecured obligation issued by a corporation or bank to finance its short-term credit needs, such as accounts receivable and inventory.
Contribution to Total Return: The weight of each individual security multiplied by its return, then summed for each sector to determine how much each sector added
or subtracted from the overall portfolio performance.
Effective Duration: A measure of the sensitivity of a security’s price to a change in interest rates, stated in years.
Effective Yield: The total yield an investor receives in relation to the nominal yield or coupon of a bond. Effective yield takes into account the power of compounding
on investment returns, while nominal yield does not.
FDIC: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. A federal agency that insures bank deposits to a specified amount.
Interest Rate: Interest per year divided by principal amount and expressed as a percentage.
Market Value: The value that would be received or paid for an investment in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date.
Maturity: The date upon which the principal or stated value of an investment becomes due and payable.
Negotiable Certificates of Deposit: A CD with a very large denomination, usually $1 million or more, that can be traded in secondary markets.
Par Value: The nominal dollar face amount of a security.
Pass-through Security: A security representing pooled debt obligations that passes income from debtors to its shareholders. The most common type is the
mortgage-backed security.
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CITY OF WINTER SPRINGS
For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
Appendix
Glossary
Repurchase Agreements: A holder of securities sells these securities to an investor with an agreement to repurchase them at a fixed price on a fixed date.
Settle Date: The date on which the transaction is settled and monies/securities are exchanged. If the settle date of the transaction (i.e., coupon payments and
maturity proceeds) occurs on a non-business day, the funds are exchanged on the next business day.
Supranational: A multinational union or association in which member countries cede authority and sovereignty on at least some internal matters to the group, whose
decisions are binding on its members.
Trade Date: The date on which the transaction occurred; however, the final consummation of the security transaction and payment has not yet taken place.
Unsettled Trade: A trade which has been executed; however, the final consummation of the security transaction and payment has not yet taken place.
U.S. Treasury: The department of the U.S. government that issues Treasury securities.
Yield: The rate of return based on the current market value, the annual interest receipts, maturity value, and the time period remaining until maturity, stated as a
percentage on an annualized basis.
YTM at Cost: The yield to maturity at cost is the expected rate of return based on the original cost, the annual interest receipts, maturity value, and the time period
from purchase date to maturity, stated as a percentage on an annualized basis.
YTM at Market: The yield to maturity at market is the rate of return based on the current market value, the annual interest receipts, maturity value, and the time
period remaining until maturity, stated as a percentage on an annualized basis.
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