HomeMy WebLinkAbout2006 06 21 Regular Item 301 Seminole Cty Public Schools
-:
Winter Springs Planning and Zoning Board/Local
Planning Agency
School Capacity and Student Generation Workshop
Presented By;
Seminole County Public Schools
..,.0:_ ......
June 21, 2006
6:30 P.M.
George Kosmac, Deputy Superintendent, SCPS
Michael Rigby, AICP, Planner, SCPS
Joint Seminole County Public Schools Winter Springs Planning and Zoning Work
Session:
Wednesday June 21 2006
1. Introduction/Purpose:
2. Student Generation Rates:
. Methodology
. Tish1er/Bise Student Generation Study
. Current vs. proposed rates
3. School Capacity Calculations:
. Florida Inventory of Schoolhouses (FISH)
.-~ ~
1. Verified
11. Uniform
111. Tied to funding
IV. Legislatively mandated
4. School Enrollment:
. Actual enrollment surveyed twice a year (Oct., Feb.)
i. Consistent
ii. Survey Process
iii. Tied to funding
5. Development Approvals:
. Reviewed for school capacity only
. Based on development numbers submitted by applicant/jurisdiction
. Used only to forecast potential impact to educational facilities
. Review Process
6. Questions Comments
Handouts
. Student Generation Rate Study
. School capacity spreadsheet (FISH)/ Enrolment by school (2/10/2006
count)
. Student Generation Rate Comparison/Methodology summary
. Winter Springs proposed development & student generation table
. Winter Springs school capacity/attendance analysis
. FISH document
SCPS
Page 2
6/21/2006
Student Generation Rate Methodology
.~.~ ~
The number of students living in a household varies depending on the
type of residential housing. Therefore, school impact fees are often
assessed based on the student generation rates of specific
residential land use types. For Seminole County, the student
generation rate per residential unit is based on three types of
residential uses: single family, multi-family, and mobile homes. The
student generation rate, or number of students per unit figure, is
developed by dividing the number of students. within a particular
residential use type by the total number of units of that land use in
Seminole County. The data used to calculate the student generation
rates for Seminole County are from Census 2000 and Public Use
Microdata Sample (PUMS) 2000.
Sample Methodoloqv:
. Acquire PUMS data for public students by grade and residential
land use for County.
. Create generation factors by reconciling the number of students by
housing unit type to the number of housing units of similar type
countywide.
. Calculated generation rates are then used to determine expected
school age children impacting public schools as a result of
proposed development.
Drqft School Impact Fee Anafvsis
Seminole CounfJ. Florida
ApPENDIX
Student Generation Rates
Seminole County, Florida
March 16, 2006
\
---...... ~
The mission of the Seminole County Public Schools is to em ure that all students acquire
the knowledge, skills and attitudes necessarY to be sUI:cessful in adult life.
Prepared By:
lschlerBise
Fiscal, Economic 8< Planning Consultants
18
TlSChlerBise
Fisal. Ec.o....omil.: & PI.anni"R C0f'l5ultilnts
Draft School ImtJact Fee Analvsis
- ~ -
Seminole County. Florida
Table of Contents
INTR 0 D U CTI 0 N .................... ........................ .......... ............................... .......... ........................... ................ 20
STUD ENTS PER H 0 USIN G UNIT ............................................................................................ ................ 21
PUMS RESULTS. ..... ........ ............................ .............. ......................................... ........................... ........... ..... 21
Figure 1 - Map of Seminole County PUMA ........................................................................................... 22
-
Figure 2 - Step: 1 Aggregation of PUMA Data....................................................................................... 23
Figure 3 - Step 2: Calculation of Unadjusted Student Generation Rates................................................ 24
Figure 4 - Step 3: Calibration to Local Data............................................................................................ 26
Figure 5 - Step 4: Adjusted Students Per Housing Unit ........................................................................ 27
Figure 6 - Comparison of the 1992 to the 2006 Student Generation Rates.............................................. 28
_... &or
19
TISChIer8ise
Fisal, ~",nomk.&l Pl.MiI1R CQl'l$.IJIt.II1t1
Draft School ImtJact Fee Analvsis
- . -
Seminole County. Florida
INlRODUCTION
As part of the school impact fee work scope, TischlerBise analyzed student generation rates
in Seminole County/ Florida. This report discusses development projections and student
generation rates that will be used in the impact fee calculations. The term "student
generation rates" refers to the number of public school students per housing unit in
Seminole County. Public school students are a subset of school-age children, which
includes students in private school and home-schooled children. Student generation rates
used in the impact fee calculations are based on the estimated number of housing units,
which is a housing unit occupied by year-round residents.
--....... ~
To derive student generation rates for Seminole County/ TischlerBise obtained
demographic data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the staff of Seminole County Public
School District. The methodology uses data from the U.S. Census Bureau's 2000 Public Use
Microdata Sample (PUMS 5% sample).
20
TlSChlerBise
fiKaL (:W:Wl1\h; &. Pl.lIr'U';ing Com-ult.al\ts
Drqft School Impact Fee Analvsis
Seminole CounfY. Florida
STUDENTS PER HOUSING UNIT
Student generation rates are used to indicate the average demand for school facilities
generated by new residential development. Thus, student generation rates are used to
convert basic housing unit projections into the expected demand for additional public
schools needed to accommodate new development. Student generation rates are also used
in impact fee calculations to allocate capital costs by type of housing. In Seminole County,
student generation rates were derived using 5% PUMS data from the U.S. Census Bureau.
The results of these calculations are described below.
PUMS Results
--..... ......
A first step in determining impact fees is to calculate public school pupil generation rates
by type of housing unit. The generation rates are based on Public Use Micro Sample
(PUMS) data obtained from the U.S. Census Bureau and adjusted for Seminole County. The
assumptions used and the end results are discussed in the sections below. The dwelling
unit categories used in the impact fee analysis is comprised of categories used by the U.S.
Census Bureau for collecting data.
Detailed student generation rates by school level, housing type and number of bedrooms is
possible using individual responses to the long-form census questionnaires. A 5% sample
of census data is available for geographic areas of roughly 100,000 people, also known as
Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMA). Seminole County is comprised of three PUMA,
which are shown in Figure 1.
21
TlSChlerBise
f"isal. ("'nomi( & Pl<llMing ConsultAnls
Draft School Im.pact Fee AnalYsis
Seminole County. Florida
Figure 1 - Map of Seminole County PUMA
PUMAs Within Seminole County
---...... ..,
01802
:L.ake
Legend
D Public Use Microdata Area
c::J County
rd
The first step in determining the student generation rates is to aggregate the data for each
of the PUMA for the entire County, which is shown below in Figure 2. This is done for
each school level (i.e. elementary, middle and high) by housing unit type and by the
number or bedrooms. In addition, the total number of housing units is entered at the
bottom of the Figure 2.
22
TlSChlerBise
riKaI. [W!\Oll'Ii~a. PI.lu''''lo(l ~lt~"ll
Drqft School Impact Fee Analvsis
Seminole CounfY. Flon'cIa
Figure 2 - Step: 1 Aggregation of PUMA Data
Public School Students by Hsg Type and Bedrooms
Elementary School Students
(Grades K-5) TOTAL
SF Detached 9,114 9,316 19,696
SF Attached 407 <= 3+ bedro 746
Multifamily 1,223 <= 3+ bedro 4,217
Mobile Home 147 57 329
TOTAL 10,891 9,373 24,988
Middle School Students
(Grades 6-8) TOTAL
SF Detached 5,277 6,352 12,301
SF Attached 249 <= 3+ bedro 559
Multifamily 704 <= 3+ bedro 1,861
Mobile Home 106 48 245
-~...... ...,
TOTAL 6,336 6,400 14,966
High School Students
(Grades 9-12) TOTAL
SF Detached 5,749 8,242 14,788
SF Attached 308 <= 3+ bedro 654
Multifamily 855 <= 3+ bedro 1,882
Mobile Home 150 136 335
TOTAL 7,062 8,378 17,659
57,613
Housing Units
TOTAL
SF Detached 48,224 37,276 96,028
SF Attached 3,334 <= 3+ bedro 8,331
Multifamily 4,850 <= 3+ bedro 37,620
Mobile Home 1,328 239 4,957
TOTAL 57,736 37,515 146,936
Source: Cross tabulation by TischlerBise using
Census Bureau, Year 2000 5% Public Use Microdata Sample
for FL PUMA 02001,02002 and 02003.
23
TlSChlerBise
r.isul. [W:lami~ & PI.nr,ing CCflsl..liLmts
Draft School ImtJact Fee Analv.fis
- ~ -
Seminole County. Florida
The second step in determining the student generation rates is to compare public school
students from the PUMA data to housing units by type from the PUMA data to determine
the unadjusted student generation rates, which is shown below in Figure 3.
Figure 3 - Step 2: Calculation of Unadjusted Student Generation Rates'
Elementary School Students Per Housing Unit
0-2 Bdrms 3 Bdrms
SF Detached 0.120 0.189
Mobile Home 0.037 0.111
0-2 Bdrms 3 + Bdrms
SF Attached 0.0681 0.122\
Multifamily
0.091 0.252
Middle School Students Per Housing Unit
-~...... ~ 0-2 Bdrms 3 Bdrms 4 Bdrms Wt Avg
SF Detached 0.0641 0.1091 0.1701 0.1281
Mobile Home 0.027 0.080 0.201 0.049
0-2 Bdrms 3 + Bdrms (' Avg I
SF Attached 0.0621 0.075\ 0.067
Multifamily 0.049
0.035 0.145
High School Students Per Housing Unit
0-2 Bdrms 3 Bdrms 4 Bdrms
SF Detached 0.076 0.119 0.221
Mobile Home 0.014 0.113 0.569
0-2 Bdrms 3+ Bdrms
SF Attached 0.0691 0.092\
Multifamily
0.031 0.176
Total Students Per Housing Unit
0-2 Bdrms 3 Bdrms 4 Bdrms
SF Detached 0.260 0.418 0.641
Mobile Home 0.078 0.303 1.008
0-2 Bdrms 3 + Bdrms
SF Attached 0.1991 0.2891
Multifamily
0.158 0.574
Source: Cross tabulation by TischlerBise using r.
Census Bureau, Year 2000 5% Public Use Microdata Sample
for FL PUMA 02001,02002 and 02003.
24
TlSChlerBise
Fisul. lW'lomk & PI.nnlng C0l'1Sult.lnt1
Draft Schoo/ Imbact Fee Ana/vsis
- - -
S emino/e County. F/orida
In Step 3, the unadjusted student generation rates calculate previously in Step 2 are
calibrated to local data. In the top part of Figure 4, the unadjusted student generation rates
are multiplied by housing units in 2000 to determine emollment by school level. In the top
half of the table, the cells on the far right contain the actual emollment data for Seminole
County schools in 2000-2001, the year the Census data was compiled, comparison. In the
bottom half of the table, housing units by type from the 2000 Census SF3 data set are
entered in the cells on the far right, and are then distributed by number of bedrooms based
in the percentage of units contained the PUMS sample data shown previously in Figure 2.
-~.... .-.
25
TlSChlerBise
nsa!. t<<l'IGlnll.:. 3. Pl.llnr.ll'lg CQt1S\,ilt.ll!lU
Drqft School Impact Fee Analvsis
Figure 4 - Step 3: Calibration to Local Data
Estimated Students by Hsg Type and Bedrooms
Elementary School Students
(Grades K-5) TOTAL
SF Detached 9,093 9,295 19,651
SF Attached 418 <= 3+ bedr 766
Multifamily 1,218 <= 3+ bedr 4,200
Mobile Home 156 60 348
TOTAL 10,885 9,355 24,965
Middle School Students
(Grades 6-8) TOTAL
SF Detached 5,265 6,338 12,273
SF Attached 256 <= 3+ bedr 574
Multifamily 701 <= 3+ bedr 1,853
~...... ...... Mobile Home 112 51 259
TOTAL 6,334 6,388 14,960
High School Students
(Grades 9-12) TOTAL
SF Detached 5,736 8,223 14,754
SF Attached 316 <= 3+ bedr 672
Muhifamily 852 <= 3+ bedr 1,874
Mobile Home 159 144 355
TOTAL 7,063 8,367 17,655
57,580
Housing Units
TOTAL
SF Detached 48,114 37,191 95,809
SF Attached 3,424 <= 3+ bedr 8,557
Muhifamily 4,830 <= 3+ bedr 37,467
Mobile Home 1,405 253 5,246
TOTAL 57,774 37,444 147,079
Source: Seminole County estimates by TischlerBise using
Census Bureau, Year 20005% Public Use Microdata Sample
for FL PUMA 02001, 02002 and 02003. SF3 data was used for housing units.
Seminole County. Florida
Actual 1999-2000
Enrol/ment
27,311
13,838
16,686
57,835
- 95,809
8,557
37,467
5,246
147,079
The estimated public school emollment in Seminole County in 2000 using the PUMS data
was approximately 0.4 percent less than the actual emollment of 57,835. This is most likely
26
TlSChlerBise
fisc,!. !;"i'\(m'~1; & i-'1J,fll"il'lg COf1)UltAnts
Dr~ft School Impact Fee AnalYsis
Seminole Coun{y. Florida
a result of the seasonal nature of some of the County's housing stock. Therefore, Step 4
adjusts the student generation rates shown in Figure 3 proportionately to match actual
enrollment in Seminole County (shown above in Figure 4). Figure 5 below shows these
adjusted rates.
SF - Detached
Mobile Home
SF Attached
Multifamily
-.-..... .......
SF Detached
Mobile Home
SF Attached
Multifamily
Figure 5 - Step 4: Adjusted Students Per Housing Unit
SF Detached
Mobile Home
SF Attached
Multifamily
SF Detached
Mobile Home
SF Attached
Multifamily
4 Bdrms
0.640
0.984
0.2901
0.577
Source: TischlerBise
Based on U.S. Census Bureau, Year 2000 5% Public Use Microdata Sample
for FL PUMA 02001,02002 and 02003.
TlSChlerBise
risal. Ewm;;l'!1j~ & PI.Mil'\g COf'S.\.:/tJntS
vcri!)' cnrollmcnts
match control totals
21,497
381
838
4,594
27.311
11,353
240
531
1,714
13.838
13,945
335
635
1,771
16.686
46,795
956
2,004
8,080
:"7.835
57.835
27
Draft School ImtJact Fee Analvsis
- ~ -
Seminole County. Florida
The student generation rates fluctuated more in the mobile home housing type than any
other. In 1992/ the percentage of school aged children living in mobile homes was 35%.
This percentage decreased to 18% in 2006/ a decrease of 16%. In contrast, the percentage
of school aged children living in single and multifamily housing units changed only
slightly. The single family housing unit percentage increased slightly. While the
multifamily housing unit percentage, decreased slightly.
Figure 6 - Comparison of the 1992 to the 2006 Student Generation Rates
Error! Not a valid link.
--- .....
28
TlSChlerBise
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Florida Inventory of School Houses (FISH)
The State of Florida maintains a database called the FISH
(Florida Inventory of School Houses)
. Legislative intent is for FISH to provide a common set
of standards for schools statewide:
o S.S. 1013.03(2) F. S., requires OEF to,
".. . establish for the purpose of determining the
need, equitably uniform utilization standards for all
types of space. . . "
. I nventory of real property owned by a District as
reported to the Department of Education. This report
establishes satisfactory student stations in a District's
existing facilities.
. Florida Inventory of School Houses (FISH) updated
continuously.
. Instructional spaces include all satisfactory permanent
and relocatable instructional spaces.
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SEMINOLE COUNTY PUBLIC SCHOOLS
2005-2006 SCHOOUALPHA KG-12
2005.2006 2005-2006 2005-2006
SCHOOL 5/26/2006 12/16/2005 8/12/2005
CC# System/Day 180 System/Day 90 "S ",I, System/Day 10
Altamonte 561 819 858 858
Bear Lake 31 1125 1144 1134
Bentley 801 1020 1028 1005
Carillon 441 885 887 896
Casselberry 202 727 726 712
Eastbrook 531 750 789 785
EnQlish Estates 41 776 796 792
Evans 111 870 851 865
Forest City 502 830 875 901
Geneva 51 508 511 503
Goldsboro 271 642 664 684
Hamilton 21 765 768 773
Heathrow 691 1124 1136 1127
Highlands 331 587 611 590
Idyllwilde 521 1032 1028 959
Keeth 661 796 788 770
Lake Mary 81 645 654 661
Lake Orienta 601 748 776 801
Lawton 131 884 877 880
Layer 121 601 592 589
Longwood 91 686 706 683
Midway 301 405 386 376
Partin 701 786 778 769
Pine Crest 141 843 820 772
Rainbow 361 910 900 894
Red Bug 511 846 841 839
Sabal Point 581 859 873 872
Spring Lake 401 869 879 869
Stenstrom 681 713 706 720
SterlinQ Park 611 648 673 686
Walker 171 793 782 794
Wekiva 651 924 929 917
Wicklow 811 992 1011 964
Wilson 231 1037 1031 1005
Winter SprinQs 391 655 660 652
Woodlands 591 864 858 839
ELEM TOTAL: 28964 29192 28936
Chiles 721 1471 1510 1497
Greenwood Lakes 671 1475 1506 1478
Indian Trails 711 1394 1401 1408
Jackson Heights 291 1161 1151 1159
Millennium 182 2072 2087 2080
Milwee 101 1082 1101 1116
Rock Lake 621 1174 1185 1180
Sanford 151 1476 1503 1539
South Seminole 201 1185 1207 1225
Teague 501 1687 1692 1717
Tuskawilla 541 1115 1134 1169
MID TOTAL: 15292 15477 15568
Crooms 251 514 531 549
Hagerty 931 510 506 497
Lake Brantley 491 3145 3235 3314
Lake Howell 551 2114 2200 2241
Lake Mary 71 2736 2851 2878
Lyman 431 2139 2306 2408
Oviedo 421 3020 3110 3148
Quest Academy 921 106 101 107
Seminole 181 2789 2952 3036
Winter SprinQs 911 2502 2604 2670
HI TOTAL: 19575 20396 20848
Hopper 281 56 47 44
Rosenwald 311 81 89 83
SC TOTAL: 137 136 127
Choices in Learning 9229 409 408 413
Rays of Hope 9222 140 158 146
UCP (Pre-K Only) 9228 35 26 21
CHARTER SCHOOLS: 584 592 580
ALTERNATIVE SCHOOLS: 924 901 367
GRAND TOTAL: 65476 66694 ,..,ift) !!))!!W 66426
Report Date: 5/26/2006
'Counts include UCP and McKay Scholarship
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