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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2006 08 23 Regular 300 Actuarial Evaluation Report COMMISSION AGENDA ITEM 300 Regular August 23,2006 Special Meeting MGR. / IDEPT. Authorization REQUEST: City Manager requesting the City Commission to review the Actuarial Evaluation Report of the City Actuary and consider approval of the Actuaries' Recommendations. PURPOSE: This agenda item is needed for the City Commission to consider approval of the recommendation of the City Actuary regarding the need for additional contributions to the Pension Trust Fund. CONSIDERATIONS: The City Manager requested the City's Actuaries to perform an analysis of the fiscal performance of the City's Pension Plan to determine if additional levels of contributions will be required to ensure the fiscal soundness of the plan in light of increasing benefits. This analysis was completed and delivered via the attached letter dated August 16, 2006. On August 16, 2006, the Board of Trustees voted unanimously to recommend to the City Commission that contributions to the City's Pension Plan be increased by an additional 1% per recommendation ofthe City's Actuaries. FUNDING: Funding for the additional 1% contribution is programmed into the City Manger's FY 2007 Preliminary Budget. RECOMMENDATION: The City Manager recommends the City Commission approve the recommendation of the Board of Trustees and the City Actuaries to increase contributions to the City's Pension plan by an additional 1 %, effective 10/1/06. ATTACHMENTS: Letter from City Actuary dated August 16, 2006 COMMISSION ACTION: Retirement Plan Specialists, Inc. Employee Benefits Administrators, Actuaries and Consultants P.O. Box 622857 Oviedo, Florida 327562-1582 407-365-3490 (office) 407-366-5154 (fax) To: Winter Springs Board of Trustees (Pension Board) From: Sandra Turner, Retirement Plan Specialists Donald D. Chapman, Retirement Plan Specialists ~ Date: August 16, 2006 Subj: Retirement Plan Actuarial Valuation Study Report On May 9, 2005 the City Commission adopted a plan to incrementally raise the 3% retroactive retirement benefit from 2% to 3% resulting in the retirement benefit being 3% for all years of service as opposed to the existing 3% for all years going forward from October 1, 2000 and 2% for all years going backwards from October 1,2000. Utilizing an actuarial asset valuation method and the following actuarial assumptions the actuarial studies recommended that the percentage of payroll contributions be raised from 13% to 15% to fund the retroactive 3% benefit. Actuarial Assumption · 10-30-year funding of past service liability . 8% investment earning . 3% average annual increase in salaries . actuarial standard turnover table 8 · Normal retirement, age 65 . Actuarial assumed average retirement age of 60 . Early retirement, age 55 - 10 years service The City Manager instructed our firm to perform an evaluation of the city's retirement plan to determine how the plan is performing in accordance with original assumptions. The city's principal concern is related to what could be an anomaly or bubble in the plan caused by an unusual number of retirements occurring between 2008 and 2013 when the full 3% retro benefit goes into effect. This could result from employees retiring earlier than the actuarial assumed average 60 years of age as soon as the full 3% benefit becomes effective for those eligible for unreduced early retirement. The concern is that individuals eligible for unreduced early retirement would cause an abnormal number of employees retiring immediately and prior to age 60 thus causing a financial shortfall impact greater than anticipated in the original study. Therefore, in order to determine if additional increases in contribution rates are needed to maintain the soundness of the plan our firm was asked to determine three things: 1. The current funding status of the plan with 2.25% backward and 3% forward benefit, and actuarial assumed average retirement age 60 using current employee and asset plan data. 2. The anticipated projected status of the plan on October 1, 2008 assuming an actuarial average retirement age of 60, and full 3% benefit for all years of service using current employees and asset plan data. 3. The anticipated projected status of the plan on October 1, 2008 assuming the worst case in which participants eligible for unreduced early retirement elects to do so immediately with the full 3% benefit based upon current employees and asset plan data. Methodoloe:v In response to this request we tested the following three scenarios utilizing two different methods: Scenarios 1. Current Case - reflects the current funding status of the plan including 2.25% benefit for service prior to October 1, 2000 and 3% benefit going forward from October 1, 2000, and the actuarial assumed average retirement age of 60, based upon current plan data. 2. Normal Case - reflects the anticipated projected funding requirements of the plan on October 1, 2008 when the full 3% benefit is effective and the actuarial assumed average age is 60, based upon current plan data. 3. Worst Case - reflects the anticipated projected funding requirements of the plan with the expectation that participants eligible for unreduced early retirement prior to the actuarial assumed average age of 60 and elect to do so during the period October 1,2008 through October 1,2013, based upon current plan data. Methods 1. The Actuarial Asset Valuation Method (Long Range Yield Method) determines contribution levels required to fund pension liabilities based upon spreading of significant gains and losses over a five year period thus leveling out positive and negative spikes in the market value of the fund. This method smoothes out significant fluctuations in the pension expense as a percentage of payroll from year to year. 2. The Market Valuation Method determines contribution levels required to fund pension liabilities based upon actual Market Value of Assets in the fund on the valuation date. Of the two methods the Actuarial Asset Valuation Method is the most conservative and most predictable. This method reflects the city's conservative fiscal practice. The city has utilized this method from the inception of the defined benefit plan in 2001 through today. On the other hand, the Market Valuation Method is subject to wide swings in contribution rates that making it a less predictable method, and thus, difficult to budget. 2 Results Overall as shown below, both methods demonstrate that the plan performs within the 10-30 year funding parameters except the worst case scenario under the more conservative Actuarial Asset Valuation Method. In that scenario the study indicates a need to increase contribution rates 1 %. Results - Asset Valuation Method 30- Year IS-Year 10-Year Funding Funding Funding Scenario 1- Current Case . ReQuired Payroll Contribution % 13.2 14.1 15.2 . Authorized Payroll Contribution % 14.0 14.0 14.0 00.8 (00.1 ) (01.2) Scenario 2 - Normal Case . ReQuired Payroll Contribution % 15.0 16.3 17.9 . Authorized Payroll Contribution % 15.0 15.0 15.0 00.0 (01.3) (02.9) Scenario 3 - Worst Case . ReQuired Payroll Contribution % 16.1 17.8 19.7 . Authorized Payroll Contribution % 15.0 15.0 15.0 (01.1) (02.8) (04.7) Results - Market Valuation Method 30- Year 15-Year 10-Year Funding Funding Funding Scenario 1- Current Case . Required Payroll Contribution % 11.2 12.1 13.1 . Authorized Payroll Contribution % 14.0 14.0 14.0 02.8 01.9 00.9 Scenario 2 - Normal Case . ReQuired Payroll Contribution % 12.8 14.2 15.8 . Authorized Payroll Contribution % 15.0 15.0 15.0 02.2 00.8 00.8 Scenario 3 - Worst Case . Required Payroll Contribution % 14.0 15.7 17.6 . Authorized Payroll Contribution % 15.0 15.0 15.0 01.0 (00.7) (02.6) 3 Conclusions The approach to funding a pension plan is reflected in the philosophy of the organization and the risk the organization is willing to accept. Winter Springs has adopted a very conservative pension plan approach that has served it well in the past and will serve it well into the future if maintained. The success of this approach is demonstrated by the fact that the present value of accrued benefits (current benefits earned to date by participants under the plan) are 99% funded as of the current valuation date. Based upon the more conservative Actuarial Asset Valuation Method, and assuming the worst case retirement scenario which anticipates a spike in retirement activity in the years immediately following the full 3% annual benefit becoming effective, we recommend the city increase its payroll contribution 1 % to remain on target with the 10-30 year funding target. The benefit of this approach is that the additional 1 % contribution would insure an added level of protection and provide for continued financial soundness through the increased retirement bubble in future years, if it occurs, and provide the city with three options after the bubble has passed as follows: 1. To maintain the extra one percent to accelerate the funding of the unfunded past service liability, driving the retirement system toward 100% funding of past service liabilities. 2. To serve as a hedge against future increases in contributions necessitated by lower than anticipated earnings, and higher than anticipated salary increases and expenses. 3. To provide for more conservative plan assumptions such as lowering the earnings assumption and or raising the annual average payroll increase assumptions. Recommendation 1. It is recommended that the city increase its contributions to the Pension Plan by 1 % to insure that the plan meets its 10-30 year funding target under a worst case retirement scenario utilizing the Asset Valuation Method. 2. It is recommended that an additional review and analysis of the fiscal condition of the plan be performed in 2009 to determine what if any changes are indicated relative to desirable changes in contribution rates and or plan assumptions. 4 CITY OF WINTER SPRINGS DEFINED BENEFIT PLAN ASSET VALUATION METHOD - SCENARIO 1 CURRENT CASE: CURRENT YEAR COST WITH 2.25% BENEFIT GOING BACKWARD AND 3% BENEFIT GOING FORWARD. EFFECTIVE 10/01/05 30 Year Fund/no 15 Year Fundino 10 Year Fundina Normal Cost $1,130,947 $1,130,947 $1,130,947 Past Service Cost 317.412 417.476 532.538 Total $1.448,359 $1,548.423 $1,663,485 Expected 2005/06 Est Covered Comp $10,947,426 $10,947,426 $10,947,426 Percent of Comp 13.2% 14.1% 15.2% a) Present Value of Accrued Benefits: $11,290,585 b) Market Value of Assets: 11,251,277 c) Unfunded Present Value of Accrued Benefits: (a-b) $ 39,308 (99.7%) ASSET VALUATION METHOD - SCENARIO 2 NORMAL CASE: PROJECTED COST OF FULL 3% BENEFIT ON 10/01/08 USING CURRENT PLAN DATA AND ACTUARIAL AVERAGE RETIREMENT AGE OF 60 YEARS 30 Year Funding 15 Year Funding 10 Year Funding Normal Cost $1,155,671 $1,155,671 $1,155,671 Past Service Cost 478.416 629.234 802.660 Total $1,634,087 $1,784,905 $1,958,331 Expected 2005/06 -- Est Covered Comp $10,947,426 $10,947,426 $10,947,426 Percent of Comp 15.0% 16.3% 17.9% a) Present Value of Accrued Benefits: $13,009,606 b) Market Value of Assets: 11,251,277 c) Unfunded Present Value of Accrued Benefits: (a-b) $1,758,329 (86.5%) Retirement Plan Specialists, Inc. 7/11/2006 ASSET VALUATION METHOD - SCENARIO 3 WORST CASE: PROJECTED COST OF FULL 3% BENEFIT THROUGH 10/01/13 USING CURRENT PLAN DATA. ACTUARIAL AVERAGE RETIREMENT AGE OF 60 YEARS AND REFLECTING THOSE ELIGIBLE FOR EARLY RETIREMENT BETWEEN 10/01/08 AND 10/01113 30 Year Funding 15 Year Funding 10 Year Funding Normal Cost $1,178,517 $1,178,517 $1,178,517 Past Service Cost 583.783 767.818 979 .439 Total $1,762,300 $1,946,335 $2,157,956 Expected 2005/06 Est Covered Comp $10,947,426 $10,947,426 $10,947.426 Percent of Comp 16.1% 17.8% 19.7% a) Present Value of Accrued Benefits: $14,002,742 b) Market Value of Assets: 11,251,277 c) Unfunded Present Value of Accrued Benefits: (a-b) $2,751,465 (80.4%) Retirement Plan Specialists, Inc. 7/11/2006 CITY OF WINTER SPRINGS DEFINED BENEFIT PLAN MARKET VALUATION METHOD - SCENARIO 1 CURRENT CASE: CURRENT YEAR COST WITH 2.25% BENEFIT GOING BACKWARD AND 3% BENEFIT GOING FORWARD. EFFECTIVE 10/01/05 30 Year Funding 15 Year Funding 10 Year Funding Normal Cost $903,421 $903,421 $903,421 Past Service Cost 317.412 417.476 532.538 Total $1,220,833 $1,320,897 $1,435,959 Expected 2005/06 Est Covered Como $10,947,426 $10,947,426 $10,947,426 Percent of Comp 11.2% 12.1% 13.1% a) Present Value of Accrued Benefits: $11,290,585 b) Market Value of Assets: 11,251,277 c) Unfunded Present Value of Accrued Benefits: (a-b) $ 39,308 (99.7%) MARKET VALUATION METHOD - SCENARIO 2 NORMAL CASE: PROJECTED COSlOF FULL 3% BENEFIT ON 10/01/08 USING CURRENT PLAN DATA AND ACTUARIAL AVERAGE RETIREMENT AGE OF 60 YEARS 30 Year Funding 15 Year Funding 10 Year Funding Normal Cost $924,144 $924,144 $924,144 Past Service Cost 478.416 629.234 802.660 Total ~ . - - ~ - $1,402,560 $1;853,378 $1,726,804 Expected 2005/06 Est Covered Como $10,947,426 $10,947,426 $10,947,426 Percent of Como 12.8% 14.2% 15.8% a) Present Value of Accrued Benefits: $13,009,606 b) Market Value of Assets: 11,251,277 c) Unfunded Present Value of Accrued Benefits: (a-b) $1,758,329 (86.5%) Retirement Plan Specialists, Inc. rev 8/4/2006 MARKET VALUATION METHOD - SCENARIO 3 WORST CASE: PROJECTED COST OF FULL 3% BENEFIT THROUGH 10/01/13 USING CURRENT PLAN DATA. ACTUARIAL AVERAGE RETIREMENT AGE OF 60 YEARS AND REFLECTING THOSE ELIGIBLE FOR EARLY RETIREMENT BETWEEN 10/01/08 AND 10/01/13 30 Year Funding 15 Year Funding 10 Year Funding Normal Cost $946,458 $946,458 $946,458 Past Service Cost 583.783 767.818 979 .439 Total $1,530,241 $1,714,276 $1,925,897 Expected 2005/06 Est Covered Comp $10,947,426 $10,947,426 $10,947,426 Percent of Como 14.0% 15.7% 17.6% a) Present Value of Accrued Benefits: $14,002,742 b) Market Value of Assets: 11,251,277 c) Unfunded Present Value of Accrued Benefits: (a-b) $2,751,465 (80.4%) Retirement Plan Specialists, Inc. rev 8/4/2006